Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.515535 0.656028 0.807578 0.981241 1.172945 1.376515 1.607520
2025-03-09 0.279100 0.454748 0.666082 0.928871 1.238381 1.584372 1.994063
2025-03-16 0.168547 0.347947 0.585118 0.898440 1.283678 1.728022 2.267114
2025-03-23 0.111919 0.294015 0.556562 0.920845 1.383356 1.928748 2.601408
2025-03-30 0.068303 0.242681 0.519724 0.923230 1.450934 2.085435 2.879060
2025-04-06 0.034601 0.191165 0.472098 0.903505 1.484924 2.197382 3.100416
2025-04-13 0.022009 0.175274 0.474747 0.949877 1.601525 2.408585 3.439017
2025-04-20 0.013163 0.161892 0.478501 0.995950 1.716549 2.617143 3.774064
2025-04-27 0.007661 0.153082 0.488012 1.049173 1.840336 2.836255 4.121783
2025-05-04 0.005756 0.156708 0.519393 1.134685 2.007418 3.109847 4.536137
2025-05-11 0.002687 0.148664 0.527785 1.184962 2.126663 3.323141 4.877033
2025-05-18 0.000221 0.128394 0.509573 1.192926 2.187308 3.461640 5.125937
2025-05-25 NaN 0.091200 0.451490 1.138861 2.166242 3.502180 5.263268
2025-06-01 NaN 0.058945 0.392127 1.077050 2.131467 3.523936 5.377412
2025-06-08 NaN 0.039614 0.354340 1.045502 2.135405 3.592321 5.546092
2025-06-15 NaN 0.032753 0.349246 1.069381 2.218864 3.764670 5.845194
2025-06-22 NaN 0.023971 0.333235 1.072073 2.270345 3.894245 6.090024
2025-06-29 NaN 0.014290 0.305594 1.050681 2.284596 3.973405 6.270368
2025-07-06 NaN 0.013371 0.315958 1.100883 2.406138 4.196017 6.633193
2025-07-13 NaN 0.012493 0.326109 1.150662 2.527143 4.418082 6.995579
2025-07-20 NaN 0.012349 0.340152 1.208073 2.659852 4.656073 7.378547
2025-07-27 NaN 0.015331 0.371877 1.300107 2.845275 4.965168 7.852524
2025-08-03 NaN 0.014798 0.384045 1.354111 2.973149 5.197075 8.228277